Subj : OUTLOOK: Nws National Hur
To   : All
From : Mike Powell
Date : Tue Jun 16 2026 07:42:48

ABNT20 KNHC 161142
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Tue Jun 16 2026

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:

Northwestern Gulf of America (AL90):
A broad area of low pressure located inland over south Texas is
producing a large area of disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
The system is forecast to move northeastward along the Texas coast
and could emerge over the northwestern Gulf of America later
today or tonight.  Environmental conditions are expected to be
marginally conducive for the formation of a short-lived tropical
storm late today or on Wednesday, especially if the system moves far
enough offshore.

Regardless of tropical cyclone formation, interests across southern
and eastern Texas and portions of Louisiana and Mississippi should
prepare for periods of intense rainfall over the next several days
which could produce widespread, life-threatening flash, urban, and
river flooding.  Gusty winds and coastal flooding are also possible
along portions of the northwestern Gulf Coast, and Tropical Storm
Watches or Warnings could be required later today.  Additional
information on this system can be found in products issued by your
local National Weather Service Forecast Office or NHC Key Messages.

* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...60 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.

$$
Forecaster Blake

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