75% feels right. If the answer had been anything outside of 65% - 80%, I would've been surprised. I deal with estimations all of the time, and it's important to be able to come up with ranges of potentials rather than exacts. Is it math? Probably, but don't ask me to show my work. I hated showing my work because that kinda ruins it. It's more like visualization rather than the scribblings of 18th century madmen.