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       # 2025-04-16 - Epistle to the Ecotopians by Ernest Callenbach
       
       [This document was found on the computer of Ecotopia author Ernest
       Callenbach (1929-2012) after his death.]
       
       To all brothers and sisters who hold the dream in their hearts of a
       future world in which humans and all other beings live in harmony and
       mutual support--a world of sustainability, stability, and confidence.
       A world something like the one I described, so long ago, in Ecotopia
       and Ecotopia Emerging.
       
       As I survey my life, which is coming near its end, I want to set down
       a few thoughts that might be useful to those coming after. It will
       soon be time for me to give back to Gaia the nutrients that I have
       used during a long, busy, and happy life. I am not bitter or
       resentful at the approaching end; I have been one of the
       extraordinarily lucky ones. So it behooves me here to gather together
       some thoughts and attitudes that may prove useful in the dark times
       we are facing: a century or more of exceedingly difficult times.
       
       How will those who survive manage it? What can we teach our friends,
       our children, our communities? Although we may not be capable of
       changing history, how can we equip ourselves to survive it?
       
       I contemplate these questions in the full consciousness of my own
       mortality. Being offered an actual number of likely months to live,
       even though the estimate is uncertain, mightily focuses the mind. On
       personal things, of course, on loved ones and even loved things, but
       also on the Big Picture.
       
       But let us begin with last things first, for a change. The analysis
       will come later, for those who wish it.
       
       # Hope
       
       Children exude hope, even under the most terrible conditions, and
       that must inspire us as our conditions get worse. Hopeful patients
       recover better. Hopeful test candidates score better. Hopeful
       builders construct better buildings. Hopeful parents produce secure
       and resilient children. In groups, an atmosphere of hope is essential
       to shared successful effort: "Yes, we can!" is not an empty slogan,
       but a mantra for people who intend to do something together--whether
       it is rescuing victims of hurricanes, rebuilding flood-damaged
       buildings on higher ground, helping wounded people through first aid,
       or inventing new social structures (perhaps one in which only people
       are "persons," not corporations). We cannot know what threats we will
       face. But ingenuity against adversity is one of our species' built-in
       resources. We cope, and faith in our coping capacity is perhaps our
       biggest resource of all.
       
       # Mutual Support
       
       The people who do best at basic survival tasks (we know this
       experimentally, as well as intuitively) are cooperative, good at
       teamwork, often altruistic, mindful of the common good. In drastic
       emergencies like hurricanes or earthquakes, people surprise us by
       their sacrifices--of food, of shelter, even sometimes of life itself.
       Those who survive social or economic collapse, or wars, or pandemics,
       or starvation, will be those who manage scarce resources fairly;
       hoarders and dominators win only in the short run, and end up dead,
       exiled, or friendless. So, in every way we can we need to help each
       other, and our children, learn to be cooperative rather than
       competitive; to be helpful rather than hurtful; to look out for the
       communities of which we are a part, and on which we ultimately depend.
       
       # Practical Skills
       
       With the movement into cities of the U.S. population, and much of the
       rest of the world's people, we have had a massive de-skilling in how
       to do practical tasks. When I was a boy in the country, all of us
       knew how to build a tree house, or construct a small hut, or raise
       chickens, or grow beans, or screw pipes together to deliver water. It
       was a sexist world, of course, so when some of my chums in eighth
       grade said we wanted to learn girls' "home ec" skills like making
       bread or boiling eggs, the teachers were shocked, but we got to do
       it. There was widespread competence in fixing things--impossible with
       most modern contrivances, of course, but still reasonable for the
       basic tools of survival: pots and pans, bicycles, quilts, tents,
       storage boxes.
       
       We all need to learn, or relearn, how we would keep the rudiments of
       life going if there were no paid specialists around, or means to pay
       them. Every child should learn elementary carpentry, from layout and
       sawing to driving nails. Everybody should know how to chop wood
       safely, and build a fire. Everybody should know what to do if dangers
       appear from fire, flood, electric wires down, and the like. Taking
       care of each other is one practical step at a time, most of them
       requiring help from at least one other person; survival is a team
       sport.
       
       # Organize
       
       Much of the American ideology, our shared and usually unspoken
       assumptions, is hyper-individualistic. We like to imagine that heroes
       are solitary, have super powers, and glory in violence, and that if
       our work lives and business lives seem tamer, underneath they are
       still struggles red in blood and claw. We have sought solitude on the
       prairies, as cowboys on the range, in our dependence on media (rather
       than real people), and even in our cars, armored cabins of solitude.
       We have an uneasy and doubting attitude about government, as if we
       all reserve the right to be outlaws. But of course human society,
       like ecological webs, is a complex dance of mutual support and
       restraint, and if we are lucky it operates by laws openly arrived at
       and approved by the populace.
       
       If the teetering structure of corporate domination, with its monetary
       control of Congress and our other institutions, should collapse of
       its own greed, and the government be unable to rescue it, we will
       have to reorganize a government that suits the people. We will have
       to know how to organize groups, how to compromise with other groups,
       how to argue in public for our positions. It turns out that
       "brainstorming," a totally noncritical process in which people just
       throw out ideas wildly, doesn't produce workable ideas. In
       particular, it doesn't work as well as groups in which ideas are
       proposed, critiqued, improved, debated. But like any group process,
       this must be protected from domination by powerful people and also
       over-talkative people. When the group recognizes its group power, it
       can limit these distortions. Thinking together is enormously
       creative; it has huge survival value.
       
       # Learn To Live With Contradictions
       
       These are dark times, these are bright times. We are implacably
       making the planet less habitable. Every time a new oil field is
       discovered, the press cheers: "Hooray, there is more fuel for the
       self-destroying machines!" We are turning more land into deserts and
       parking lots. We are wiping out innumerable species that are not only
       wondrous and beautiful, but might be useful to us. We are multiplying
       to the point where our needs and our wastes outweigh the capacities
       of the biosphere to produce and absorb them. And yet, despite the
       bloody headlines and the rocketing military budgets, we are also,
       unbelievably, killing fewer of each other proportionately than in
       earlier centuries. We have mobilized enormous global intelligence and
       mutual curiosity, through the Internet and outside it. We have even
       evolved, spottily, a global understanding that democracy is better
       than tyranny, that love and tolerance are better than hate, that hope
       is better than rage and despair, that we are prone, especially in
       catastrophes, to be astonishingly helpful and cooperative.
       
       We may even have begun to share an understanding that while the dark
       times may continue for generations, in time new growth and
       regeneration will begin. In the biological process called
       "succession," a desolate, disturbed area is gradually, by a
       predictable sequence of returning plants, restored to ecological
       continuity and durability. When old institutions and habits break
       down or consume themselves, new experimental shoots begin to appear,
       and people explore and test and share new and better ways to survive
       together.
       
       # It Is Never Easy Or Simple
       
       But already we see, under the crumbling surface of the conventional
       world, promising developments: new ways of organizing economic
       activity (cooperatives, worker-owned companies, nonprofits, trusts),
       new ways of using low-impact technology to capture solar energy, to
       sequester carbon dioxide, new ways of building compact, congenial
       cities that are low (or even self-sufficient) in energy use, low in
       waste production, high in recycling of almost everything. A vision of
       sustainability that sometimes shockingly resembles Ecotopia is
       tremulously coming into existence at the hands of people who never
       heard of the book.
       
       * * *
       
       Now in principle, the Big Picture seems simple enough, though
       devilishly complex in the details. We live in the declining years of
       what is still the biggest economy in the world, where a looter elite
       has fastened itself upon the decaying carcass of the empire. It is
       intent on speedily and relentlessly extracting the maximum wealth
       from that carcass, impoverishing our former working middle class. But
       this maggot class does not invest its profits here. By law and by
       stock-market pressures, corporations must seek their highest possible
       profits, no matter the social or national consequences--which means
       moving capital and resources abroad, wherever profit potential is
       larger. As Karl Marx darkly remarked, "Capital has no country," and
       in the conditions of globalization his meaning has come clear.
       
       The looter elite systematically exports jobs, skills, knowledge,
       technology, retaining at home chiefly financial manipulation
       expertise: highly profitable, but not of actual productive value.
       Through "productivity gains" and speedups, it extracts maximum profit
       from domestic employees; then, firing the surplus, it claims surprise
       that the great mass of people lack purchasing power to buy up what
       the economy can still produce (or import).
       
       Here again Marx had a telling phrase: "Crisis of under-consumption."
       When you maximize unemployment and depress wages, people have to cut
       back. When they cut back, businesses they formerly supported have to
       shrink or fail, adding their own employees to the ranks of the
       jobless, and depressing wages still further. End result: something
       like Mexico, where a small, filthy rich plutocracy rules over an
       impoverished mass of desperate, uneducated, and hopeless people.
       
       Barring unprecedented revolutionary pressures, this is the actual
       future we face in the United States, too. As we know from history,
       such societies can stand a long time, supported by police and
       military control, manipulation of media, surveillance, and dirty
       tricks of all kinds. It seems likely that a few parts of the world
       (Germany, with its worker-council variant of capitalism, New Zealand
       with its relative equality, Japan with its social solidarity, and
       some others) will remain fairly democratic.
       
       The U.S., which has a long history of violent plutocratic rule
       unknown to the textbook-fed, will stand out as the best-armed Third
       World country, its population ill-fed, ill-housed, ill-educated,
       ill-cared for in health, and increasingly poverty-stricken: even
       Social Security may be whittled down, impoverishing tens of millions
       of the elderly.
       
       As empires decline, their leaders become increasingly
       incompetent--petulant, ignorant, gifted only with PR skills of
       posturing and spinning, and prone to the appointment of loyal idiots
       to important government positions. Comedy thrives; indeed writers are
       hardly needed to invent outrageous events.
       
       We live, then, in a dark time here on our tiny precious planet.
       Ecological devastation, political and economic collapse,
       irreconcilable ideological and religious conflict, poverty, famine:
       the end of the overshoot of cheap-oil-based consumer capitalist
       expansionism.
       
       If you don't know where you've been, you have small chance of
       understanding where you might be headed. So let me offer a capsule
       history for those who, like most of us, got little help from textbook
       history.
       
       At 82, my life has included a surprisingly substantial slice of
       American history. In the century or so up until my boyhood in
       Appalachian central Pennsylvania, the vast majority of Americans
       subsisted as farmers on the land. Most, like people elsewhere in the
       world, were poor, barely literate, ill-informed, short-lived.
       Millions had been slaves. Meanwhile in the cities, vast immigrant
       armies were mobilized by ruthless and often violent "robber baron"
       capitalists to build vast industries that made things: steel,
       railroads, ships, cars, skyscrapers.
       
       Then, when I was in grade school, came World War II. America built
       the greatest armaments industry the world had ever seen, and when the
       war ended with most other industrial countries in ruins, we had a run
       of unprecedented productivity and prosperity. Thanks to strong unions
       and a sympathetic government, this prosperity was widely shared: a
       huge working middle class evolved--tens of millions of people could
       afford (on one wage) a modest house, a car, perhaps sending a child
       to college. This era peaked around 1973, when wages stagnated, the
       Vietnam War took a terrible toll in blood and money, and the country
       began sliding rightward.
       
       In the next epoch, which we are still in and which may be our last as
       a great nation, capitalists who grew rich and powerful by making
       things gave way to a new breed: financiers who grasped that you could
       make even more money by manipulating money. (And by persuading
       Congress to subsidize them--the system should have been called
       Subsidism, not Capitalism.) They had no concern for the productivity
       of the nation or the welfare of its people; with religious fervor,
       they believed in maximizing profit as the absolute economic goal.
       They recognized that, by capturing the government through the
       election finance system and removing government regulation, they
       could turn the financial system into a giant casino.
       
       Little by little, they hollowed the country out, until it was
       helplessly dependent on other nations for almost all its necessities.
       We had to import significant steel components from China or Japan. We
       came to pay for our oil imports by exporting food (i.e., our soil).
       Our media and our educational system withered. Our wars became
       chronic and endless and stupefyingly expensive. Our diets became
       suicidal, and our medical system faltered; life expectancies began to
       fall.
       
       And so we have returned, in a sort of terrible circle, to something
       like my boyhood years, when President Roosevelt spoke in anger of
       "one third of a nation ill-housed, ill-fed, ill-clothed." A large and
       militant contingent of white, mostly elderly, Anglo-Saxon, Protestant
       right wingers, mortally threatened by their impending minority status
       and pretending to be liberty-lovers, desperately seek to return us
       still further back.
       
       Americans like to think of ours as an exceptional country, immune
       through geographical isolation and some kind of special virtue to the
       tides of history. Through the distorted lens of our corporate media,
       we possess only a distorted view of what the country is really like
       now. In the next decades, we shall see whether we indeed possess the
       intelligence, the strength, and the mutual courage to break through
       to another positive era.
       
       No futurist can foresee the possibilities. As empires decay, their
       civilian leaderships become increasingly crazed, corrupt, and
       incompetent, and often the military (which is after all a parasite of
       the whole nation, and has no independent financial base like the
       looter class) takes over. Another possible scenario is that if the
       theocratic red center of the country prevails in Washington, the
       relatively progressive and prosperous coastal areas will secede in
       self-defense.
       
       Ecotopia is a novel, and secession was its dominant metaphor: how
       would a relatively rational part of the country save itself
       ecologically if it was on its own? As Ecotopia Emerging puts it,
       Ecotopia aspired to be a beacon for the rest of the world. And so it
       may prove, in the very, very long run, because the general outlines
       of Ecotopia are those of any possible future sustainable society.
       
       The "ecology in one country" argument was an echo of an actual early
       Soviet argument, as to whether "socialism in one country" was
       possible. In both cases, it now seems to me, the answer must be no.
       We are now fatally interconnected, in climate change, ocean
       impoverishment, agricultural soil loss, etc., etc., etc.
       International consumer capitalism is a self-destroying machine, and
       as long as it remains the dominant social form, we are headed for
       catastrophe; indeed, like rafters first entering the "tongue" of a
       great rapid, we are already embarked on it.
       
       When disasters strike and institutions falter, as at the end of
       empires, it does not mean that the buildings all fall down and
       everybody dies. Life goes on, and in particular, the remaining people
       fashion new institutions that they hope will better ensure their
       survival.
       
       So I look to a long-term process of "succession," as the biological
       concept has it, where "disturbances" kill off an ecosystem, but
       little by little new plants colonize the devastated area, prepare the
       soil for larger and more complex plants (and the other beings who
       depend on them), and finally the process achieves a flourishing,
       resilient, complex state--not necessarily what was there before, but
       durable and richly productive. In a similar way, experiments under
       way now, all over the world, are exploring how sustainability can in
       fact be achieved locally. Technically, socially, economically--since
       it is quite true, as ecologists know, that everything is connected to
       everything else, and you can never just do one thing by itself.
       
       Since I wrote Ecotopia, I have become less confident of humans'
       political ability to act on commonsense, shared values. Our era has
       become one of spectacular polarization, with folly multiplying on
       every hand. That is the way empires crumble: they are taken over by
       looter elites, who sooner or later cause collapse. But then new games
       become possible, and with luck Ecotopia might be among them.
       
       Humans tend to try to manage things: land, structures, even rivers.
       We spend enormous amounts of time, energy, and treasure in imposing
       our will on nature, on preexisting or inherited structures, dreaming
       of permanent solutions, monuments to our ambitions and dreams. But in
       periods of slack, decline, or collapse, our abilities no longer
       suffice for all this management. We have to let things go.
       
       All things "go" somewhere: they evolve, with or without us, into new
       forms. So as the decades pass, we should try not always to futilely
       fight these transformations. As the Japanese know, there is much
       unnoticed beauty in wabi-sabi--the old, the worn, the tumble-down,
       those things beginning their transformation into something else. We
       can embrace this process of devolution: embellish it when strength
       avails, learn to love it.
       
       There is beauty in weathered and unpainted wood, in orchards
       overgrown, even in abandoned cars being incorporated into the earth.
       Let us learn, like the Forest Service sometimes does, to put unwise
       or unneeded roads "to bed," help a little in the healing of the
       natural contours, the re-vegetation by native plants. Let us embrace
       decay, for it is the source of all new life and growth.
       
       Ernest Callenbach, author of the classic environmental novel Ecotopia
       among other works, founded and edited the internationally known
       journal Film Quarterly. He died at 83 on April 16th [2012], leaving
       behind this document on his computer.
       
       tags: article,collapse,manifesto
       
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