Subj : DAY2SVR: Nws Storm Predic To : All From : Dumas Walker Date : Mon Feb 10 2025 09:13 am ACUS02 KWNS 100630 SWODY2 SPC AC 100628 Day 2 Convective Outlook NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1228 AM CST Mon Feb 10 2025 Valid 111200Z - 121200Z ....NO SEVERE THUNDERSTORM AREAS FORECAST... ....SUMMARY... Isolated to scattered thunderstorms are possible from the southern Plains into the lower Mississippi Valley on Tuesday. Severe weather is not currently anticipated. ....Synopsis... Broad upper-level troughing is expected to evolve over much of the West on Tuesday. A shortwave perturbation is expected to eject into the southern Plains late Tuesday into Wednesday morning. At the surface, a cold front should extend from the southern High Plains into central Texas before arcing northeastward along the upper Texas Gulf Coast and into the lower Mississippi Valley. ....Southern Plains to Lower Mississippi Valley... Precipitation is likely to be ongoing early Tuesday morning. Most of this activity will be occurring on the cool side of the boundary. This should reinforce the front, though some modest northward progression of warmer, moist air may occur within the coastal plain regions. Potential for surface-based storms south of the boundary in southeast Texas/Sabine Valley vicinity appears low as the low-level jet will weaken during the morning/afternoon and mid-level ascent will be weak. Furthermore, forecast soundings indicate poor lapse rates in the column and warm layers that will inhibit updraft intensity. Overnight Tuesday into Wednesday morning, additional isolated to scattered storms are possible from the Edwards Plateau into Central/Northeast Texas as mid-level forcing and 850 mb warm advection increases. Again, these storms will be elevated on the cool side of the boundary. The strongest of these storms could produce small hail. The overall severe threat appears too isolated/uncertain for unconditional probabilities. ...Wendt.. 02/10/2025 $$ --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175) .