Subj : TROPDISC: Caribbean Gale To : All From : Dumas Walker Date : Sat Mar 22 2025 09:11 am 778 AXNT20 KNHC 220830 TWDAT Tropical Weather Discussion NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL 1215 UTC Sat Mar 22 2025 Tropical Weather Discussion for North America, Central America Gulf of Mexico, Caribbean Sea, northern sections of South America, and Atlantic Ocean to the African coast from the Equator to 31N. The following information is based on satellite imagery, weather observations, radar and meteorological analysis. Based on 0600 UTC surface analysis and satellite imagery through 0830 UTC. ....SPECIAL FEATURES... Caribbean Gale Warning: High pressure N of area combined with the Colombian low will supporting pulsing winds to gale force offshore of Colombia each night and early morning through Mon night. Seas will build to near 14 ft with the strongest winds. ....MONSOON TROUGH/ITCZ... The monsoon trough enters the Atlantic through the coast of Africa near 13N16W to 02N25W. The ITCZ continues from 02N25W to 00N50W. Scattered moderate convection is noted from 02N to 05N between 15W and 25W, and from 00N to 04N between 25W and 50W. ....GULF OF MEXICO... High pressure prevails across the basin, anchored by a 1022 mb located over the NE Gulf. Moderate to locally fresh winds are over the Gulf waters W of 90W, where seas are in the 205 ft range. Light to gentle winds, and seas of 2-3 ft, are in the vicinity of the high center. Gentle winds, and seas of 4-6 ft are over the remainder of the Gulf waters. For the forecast, the area of high pressure will support moderate to locally fresh S to SE winds over the western and central Gulf, and gentle to moderate winds in the eastern basin into early next week. A surface trough will develop over the Yucatan Peninsula and move into the Bay of Campeche nightly through Sun, supporting pulses of fresh to strong winds over adjacent waters. The next cold front may enter the northwestern basin Mon, but will likely dissipate as it moves through the central Gulf by Tue. ....CARIBBEAN SEA... A Gale Warning is in effect offshore Colombia. Please, refer to the Special Features section above for more information. Outside of the gale area, fresh to strong NE winds prevail across the southern half of the basin E of 80W, with moderate seas. Moderate to fresh NE winds are noted across the northern half with slight to locally moderate seas. For the forecast, fresh to strong E to NE winds offshore of Colombia and Venezuela will pulse to gale force offshore of Colombia each night and early morning through early next week. Fresh to occasionally strong NE winds will pulse in the Windward Passage into early next week. Fresh to strong SE winds will develop across the Gulf of Honduras from Sun night into the middle of next week. ....ATLANTIC OCEAN... A cold front extends from 31N60W to 25N70W, then becomes stationary to central Cuba. Moderate to fresh winds are N of 28N on either side of the front. Rough seas are behind the front and N of 26N. High pressure dominates the remainder of the basin. Fresh to strong winds, and rough seas, are E of 23W to the coast of Africa from 12N to 25N. Gentle to moderate winds, and moderate seas, generally prevail elsewhere. For the forecast west of 55W, rough seas following the front will subside to moderate by late today. The stationary portion of the front will dissipate while the cold front shifts east of 55W late today. High pressure will build in the wake of the front over the western Atlantic along 30N. This pattern will support gentle breezes and slight to moderate seas north of 22N into early next week. The area of high pressure will shift eastward Mon enabling a weak cold front to move off the northeast Florida coast. Fresh to strong winds may pulse off the northern coast of Hispaniola late Sun through Tue. $$ AL --- SBBSecho 3.20-Linux * Origin: capitolcityonline.net * Telnet/SSH:2022/HTTP (21:1/175) .