Subj : forecast Europe and North Sea
To   : All
From : Postbus 7
Date : Tue Feb 17 2026 10:07 am

 * * * EUROPE FORECAST * * * 
       as calculated from data.ecmwf.int

WEATHER BULLETIN for T+2:  Thursday 19 February 2026

Iberia: under high pressure (~1022 hPa).
Dawn: around 8.5'C, partly cloudy, rain about 0.5 mm, WNW wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~78%, and 1018 hPa.
Midday: around 10.5'C, partly cloudy, rain about 0.6 mm, WNW wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~61%, and 1022 hPa.
Night: around 9.1'C, partly cloudy, a few light showers, WNW wind, force 3 (gentle breeze), humidity ~72%, and 1023 hPa.

France & Benelux: under fairly normal pressure (~1005 hPa).
Dawn: around 6.2'C, overcast, snow about 3.0 mm, W wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~87%, and 1000 hPa.
Midday: around 7.7'C, overcast, snow about 3.2 mm, WNW wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~82%, and 1005 hPa.
Night: around 6.7'C, overcast, snow about 2.2 mm, WNW wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~84%, and 1010 hPa.

Central Europe: under fairly normal pressure (~1006 hPa).
Dawn: around -2.5'C, overcast, mixed rain and snow about 1.3 mm, ESE wind, force 2 (light breeze), humidity ~84%, and 1007 hPa.
Midday: around 0.8'C, overcast, mixed rain and snow about 2.6 mm, E wind, force 2 (light breeze), humidity ~77%, and 1006 hPa.
Night: around -1.6'C, overcast, mixed rain and snow about 2.3 mm, ENE wind, force 2 (light breeze), humidity ~85%, and 1010 hPa.

Scandinavia: under fairly normal pressure (~1012 hPa).
Dawn: around -8.5'C, overcast, a few light showers, SE wind, force 2 (light breeze), humidity ~79%, and 1011 hPa.
Midday: around -6.5'C, overcast, freezing rain about 0.7 mm, SE wind, force 2 (light breeze), humidity ~75%, and 1012 hPa.
Night: around -8.2'C, quite cloudy, hail about 0.9 mm, SE wind, force 1 (light air), humidity ~80%, and 1013 hPa.

Italy & Balkans: under fairly normal pressure (~1008 hPa).
Dawn: around 4.0'C, quite cloudy, rain about 0.9 mm, S wind, force 2 (light breeze), humidity ~78%, and 1011 hPa.
Midday: around 9.0'C, overcast, rain about 2.7 mm, S wind, force 3 (gentle breeze), humidity ~67%, and 1008 hPa.
Night: around 5.8'C, quite cloudy, rain about 3.1 mm, SSW wind, force 2 (light breeze), humidity ~78%, and 1008 hPa.

Eastern Europe: under fairly normal pressure (~1010 hPa).
Dawn: around -8.2'C, overcast, freezing rain about 1.3 mm, SE wind, force 1 (light air), humidity ~85%, and 1010 hPa.
Midday: around -5.1'C, overcast, freezing rain about 1.4 mm, WSW wind, force 1 (light air), humidity ~76%, and 1010 hPa.
Night: around -7.0'C, overcast, freezing rain about 1.0 mm, SW wind, force 1 (light air), humidity ~84%, and 1012 hPa.

British Isles: under fairly normal pressure (~1005 hPa).
Dawn: around 4.4'C, overcast, rain about 0.7 mm, ESE wind, force 3 (gentle breeze), humidity ~81%, and 1000 hPa.
Midday: around 5.3'C, overcast, rain about 0.6 mm, SE wind, force 3 (gentle breeze), humidity ~78%, and 1005 hPa.
Night: around 5.1'C, overcast, a few light showers, S wind, force 3 (gentle breeze), humidity ~80%, and 1007 hPa.

Ireland: under fairly normal pressure (~1005 hPa).
Dawn: around 6.4'C, overcast, rain about 0.7 mm, SE wind, force 0 (calm), humidity ~87%, and 997 hPa.
Midday: around 7.5'C, overcast, rain about 1.3 mm, WNW wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~78%, and 1005 hPa.
Night: around 7.2'C, overcast, rain about 0.7 mm, WSW wind, force 3 (gentle breeze), humidity ~79%, and 1006 hPa.

Iceland: under fairly normal pressure (~1010 hPa).
Dawn: around -3.5'C, overcast, a few light showers, N wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~78%, and 1010 hPa.
Midday: around -2.8'C, quite cloudy, hail about 0.9 mm, N wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~78%, and 1010 hPa.
Night: around -2.9'C, overcast, hail about 0.5 mm, NNE wind, force 4 (moderate breeze), humidity ~79%, and 1009 hPa.

 * * * THE NETHERLANDS FORECAST * * * 

Expectation (medium) long term

Prepared by the KNMI on Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 4:31 am

Cold at first, with possible (wet) snow for some time in the middle or on Thursday
south. Furthermore, it is dry and quite sunny. Temperatures will increase from Saturday
It will be very changeable, with lots of clouds and rain from time to time
or showers.

Tue Wed Thu Fri Sat Sun Mon
Sunshine (%) 30 70 40 50 10 10 20
Precipitation probability (%) 70 20 50 60 80 80 50
Precipitation sum (mm) 1/3 0/2 0/5 0/2 5/10 1/6 1/5
Minimum temp. (gr. C) 0 -1 -3 -5 0/4 4/8 8
Afternoon temp. (gr. C) 5 4 3 3 4/10 10/13 12
Wind direction NW NO NO SW SW SW W
Wind force (bft) 4 3 4 4 4 4 4


Long term, Tuesday February 24, 2026 to Tuesday March 3, 2026:
A high chance (80%) of (very) soft and slightly changeable conditions and a
small chance (20%) of mostly dry and cold weather.

 * * * NORTH SEA FORECAST * * * 

North Sea shipping forecast

Issued by KNMI at 08:32 UTC 170226.

Gale warnings:
Humber Dogger 
northwest 8

German Bight 
north to northwest 7

Thames 
northwest 7

Dover:
no warning


Synopsis:
low, 998, over German Bight moving to Poland and is filling gradually. Troughs will 
move southeastwards across the North Sea. Ridge over the Irish sea moving to German 
Bight.

Forecast valid Tuesday 09:00 till Tuesday 21:00 UTC:
Dover 
west to northwest 5-6, decreasing 3-4, later veering north to northeast. good.

Thames 
northwest 6-7, decreasing 5-6, later 4-5. occasional showers. good, in precipitation 
moderate, possibly poor.

Humber 
northwest 6-7, first occasionally 8, later decreasing north to northwest 4-5. 
occasional showers. good, in precipitation moderate, possibly poor.

German Bight 
west to northwest 5-6, soon increasing cyclonic 5-7, later north to northeast 4-6. 
occasional showers, in the northeastern part then sleet or snow. good, in 
precipitation moderate, possibly poor, in the eastern part also locally poor.

Dogger 
northwest 7-8, decreasing north 5-6, later north to northeast 4-5. especially first 
showers. good, in precipitation moderate, possibly poor.


Forecast valid Tuesday 21:00 till Wednesday 09:00 UTC:
Dover 
northeast 3-4, soon backing east to southeast 4-5, occasionally 6. in the south 
occasional rain. good, in precipitation moderate.

Thames 
north to northwest 4-5, backing east to southeast 3-4, later increasing 5-6. good.

Humber 
north to northwest 4-5, backing east to southeast 3-4, later increasing 4-5. first 
risk of a shower. good, in precipitation moderate.

German Bight 
north to northeast 4-5, first in the south 5-6, backing east 3-4, later variable 2-4.
 first risk of a shower, in the eastern part occasionally sleet or snow. good, in 
the southeastern part first moderate to poor, in precipitation moderate, possibly 
poor.

Dogger 
north to northeast 4-5, backing east to southeast 3-4, later increasing 4-5. first 
risk of a shower. good, in precipitation moderate.


 ( ( Do you like this forecast, want to provide feedback and like to donate to my coffee jar? Use https://www.paypal.com/donate/?hosted_button_id=4LSFKH97TZUZU ) ) 

--- 
 * Origin: Postbus 7 (21:1/146)

.