The American Tariff Strategy ---------------------------- A tariff is a tax on goods imported from other countries. There are two types of tariffs: 1. A protective tariff: set around 25-35% (or even higher), the protective tariff is intended to deter citizens from purchasing foreign goods. In general, the hope is that foreign goods will become so expensive that the citizenry will purchase locally-produced goods instead (this is called 'import substitution') and that domestic consumption will drive the local economy. If a protective tariff works properly, locals won't buy foreign goods and services and it will generate very little revenue. 2. A revenue tariff: this tariff is set much lower, at about 10-15%. The idea is that a minimal tax will have little impact on consumer behaviour. Citizens will continue to purchase foreign goods and pay the tax, which will flow to the government. So the two kinds of tariffs have very different aims. The Trump administration has imposed a mix of protective and revenue tariffs against countries around the world. But at the same time, the American Congress has passed legislation (the Big Beautiful Bill!) greatly reducing other forms of domestic taxation, which means that government revenue will decline. High protective tariffs will not generate enough revenue to recoup those lost taxes. So the aim of the Trump administration is now to negotiate trade deals that will reduce any protective tariffs to revenue tariff levels. This is especially important in the case of major trading partners. A revenue tariff imposed on trade with Mexico, China, Canada, etc., will generate the funds necessary to replace lost tax revenues. This is what was achieved in the deals negotiated with the UK, Japan, and the EU. If you're an American trading partner, don't expect a free trade deal in the future. Expect a deal that lowers tariffs to revenue generation levels. That's now the entire aim of U.S. trade policy. Most crucially, trade representatives should be aware that the Americans _need_ to set tariffs at revenue-generation levels and take advantage of that knowledge during negotiations.